A new challenge is brewing in Michigan’s upcoming Senate race. Bernadette Smith, former co-chair of the state’s Republican party, has filed initial paperwork signaling her intent to run, potentially setting up a primary battle against a well-established candidate.
Smith’s potential candidacy throws a wrench into the plans of former Representative Mike Rogers, who already enjoys a significant advantage. Rogers has secured the endorsement of former President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and the full backing of the National Republican Senatorial Committee – the party’s primary campaign arm.
This open Senate seat in Michigan is considered a crucial target for the GOP as they aim to expand their current Senate majority in the 2026 midterm elections. Along with a vulnerable Democrat-held seat in New Hampshire, Michigan represents a key opportunity to shift the balance of power in Washington.
Rogers recently ran for the same Senate seat in 2024, but narrowly lost to Democrat Elissa Slotkin after a hard-fought campaign to replace retiring Senator Debbie Stabenow. Trump’s endorsement was seen as a decisive boost for Rogers, who confidently stated it would pave the way for victory in 2026.
Despite Trump’s support for Rogers, Smith appears undeterred. Her entry into the race introduces an element of uncertainty and could reshape the dynamics of the primary contest.
However, Smith faces an uphill battle. Many political observers view her as a longshot candidate, questioning her ability to even qualify for the ballot in Michigan. The path to victory appears steep, even before considering the established support behind her opponent.
Adding to the challenges, Smith’s past includes a felony welfare fraud plea and a conviction related to a serious auto accident that left a young boy severely injured a decade ago. These past legal issues could prove to be significant obstacles in her campaign.
Attempts to reach Smith for comment have, so far, been unsuccessful. The coming weeks will reveal whether she formally announces her candidacy and how she intends to address the challenges that lie ahead.
