Two tropical cyclone-like vortices are expected to form in the coming weeks, with one showing a low to moderate chance of intensifying into a tropical cyclone.
The first vortex is forecast to emerge along the eastern boundary of the Tropical Cyclone Advisory Domain between July 16 and 22.
Officials assess a low to moderate probability that this system will develop into a tropical cyclone during that period.
From July 23 to 29, the vortex is expected to track toward the northeastern portion of the advisory domain and the Philippine Area of Responsibility.
Its likelihood of cyclone formation is projected to remain low to moderate through the second week.
A second vortex is anticipated to appear over the eastern advisory domain during the same window and may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility.
This second system carries only a low probability of strengthening into a tropical cyclone.
Forecasters judge the tropical cyclone threat to be less likely in the first week and more likely in the second.
Monitoring will continue, and revised assessments will be released if conditions shift.
