In 2016, a prominent election forecast model assigned a probability exceeding 99 percent to Hillary Clinton’s victory until the final hours of the campaign.
In the days before the election, a former advisor to intelligence and defense agencies appeared on several television programs and predicted that Donald Trump would win the presidency.
Recently, the same analyst has issued a new forecast that could influence financial markets.
Although the details of the prediction have not been publicly disclosed, observers warn that such forecasts can affect investor sentiment and market volatility.
